Shohei Index

Strategies

7 ways to hunt the same live market — each tab a different question, all of them over one analyzed board.

The highest confidence-adjusted mispricing across quality cards — the discount that survives the evidence haircut, not the loudest raw number.

No conviction buy

Nothing meets the price and quality bar for this strategy today.

Nothing is close today either. Try another strategy above, or see the whole board.

What each strategy asks

Every tab reads the same analyzed board. What differs is the gates: a card has to clear all of them to appear, and the requirements below are the ones the engine actually applies.

Best deals · showing now

Must clear

  • a confidence-adjusted discount of 10%+
  • confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value
  • investment quality of 60+
  • a clean condition read

Cheap entries

Roughly $10–$60 cards the engine calls a lottery: a real Ohtani card whose collector IMPORTANCE is the open question. The card is the risk, not the price.

Must clear

  • a lottery-grade read on the card
  • a delivered price inside the $10–$60 band

Blue chip cards

The cards the rest of the market is priced off — 2018 rookies, rookie-era certified autos, and anything a curator rated iconic or high — even when the discount is modest.

Must clear

  • a core vehicle, or a card a curator rated iconic or high
  • a card at 8.0+

High-end value

$500+ listings where the ABSOLUTE dollar gap to fair value is meaningful. 20% off $3,000 is a $600 edge; ranked in dollars, gated on evidence.

Must clear

  • a $500+ outlay
  • a positive dollar gap to fair value
  • confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value
  • a card at 7.0+

Flip opportunities

Liquid cards priced materially below recent confirmed sales — the ones with a real monthly velocity to sell back into.

Must clear

  • sale velocity of 6+ to sell back into
  • 15%+ below confirmed sales
  • confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value

New listings

Quality cards listed in the last 48 hours — recent enough that the market may not have noticed them yet. Newest first.

Must clear

  • listed within the last 48 hours
  • investment 65+ or a card at 7.0+

Price drops

Listings whose own price history shows the seller cutting. Ranked by how far they have come down.

Must clear

  • a recorded price cut on this exact listing

The scores those gates read — investment, card, player — are defined on how we score, and every fair value behind a discount comes from confirmed sales rather than asking prices.